The past few years have been painful for the housing market;
however, with the recent upswing in the economy the market has rebounded a bit.
This is fantastic news for those who are determined to own their own place.
However, for many people this sudden rise in interest will price them out of
the market. This would normally put a strain on rental property as the demand
has begun to aggressively chase supply.
Rental markets have risen 19% over the
last year and despite a dip in quarterly growth, monthly median rent
growth is picking up with steady year-over-year growth.
This is regardless of lower
incomes being reported in the first quarter also in spite of a decrease in home
affordability. In this case landlords are limited in how much they can increase
the rent, because of the lower incomes, but they are not suffering as demand
makes up for the difference.
It’s a landlord’s market as long as inventory fits
what renters are looking for. The second quarter is projected to see a slowing
of the rental market as the new multi-family units are absorbed into the
market. Gen-Yers are entering into the rental market too, but low income for
this segment of the market may result in landlords being unable to raise the
rent in many places.
Rising mortgage rates and high home prices are also
factors that are forcing some people into the rental market. Average home
affordability goes down as mortgage and home prices rise, kicking would-be
home buyers out of the housing market. In many niche markets rent prices were down
1.2% over the last quarter, but they were up 16% from the previous year.
These
numbers make 2014 a potentially lucrative year for property managers and rental
owners. Many of these niche markets are in big cities, places traditionally
open to growth. However, the influx of the 80 million strong Gen-Y populations
is skewed towards these larger markets. This is logical considering the
proximity to job growth and wealth development available in the future.
The
prospective talent pool of metropolitan areas assures that construction will
continue in these markets until demand can be met.
However, 2014 is not looking
so bright for New York and Boston who won’t see the aggressive rent growth they
have experienced over the last couple of years. These areas are saturated with
prospective renters and the demand is still exceeding the supply. It’s going to
take a little time for these markets to even out and reach the potential that
is projected for the rest of the country. The housing market is still
normalizing, showing strong growth in all but three of the 35 largest markets
showing annual appreciation. Home prices will continue to rise at a slow, but
steady pace. In the meantime, we should assume that rental prices will do the
same over the coming months.
@tenantscreeningreport.com